AI and the end of rate parity

In the early 2000s, the online travel landscape looked very different from today. Expedia, Orbitz, Hotels.com, Travelocity and CheapTickets all operated as independent companies, competing aggressively for consumer attention. Over time, consolidation transformed that fragmented marketplace into two global giants: Expedia Group and Booking Holdings. Each controls a portfolio of brands that still appear distinct to consumers but ultimately feed into the same corporate groups.

During those early years, the competition was fierce. Hotels, eager to reduce their reliance on intermediaries, often undercut OTAs by offering slightly lower rates on their own websites. The math was straightforward. If a room was listed at $200 and the OTA commission was 15 to 25 percent, the hotel would net $150–160 from an OTA booking. By offering the room for $190 direct, the hotel could still come out ahead while offering the guest a better deal.

The OTAs, in turn, found ways to outmaneuver hotels. With margins built into the wholesale model, they sometimes passed part of their commission back to the consumer, offering cheaper rates than the hotel’s own website while still profiting handsomely.

This cycle created what many in the industry called “price anarchy.” Consumers quickly learned that if they searched long enough, they could often find a lower price than the one officially published by the hotel. This chaos fueled the rise of meta-search engines like Kayak, Trivago, Sidestep and Mobissimo, which promised to cut through the noise by displaying side-by-side comparisons of OTA and hotel prices.

The Birth of Rate Parity

Out of this turbulence emerged the concept of rate parity. At its core, rate parity meant that a hotel agreed to offer the same room price across every distribution channel — whether on its own site, on Expedia, or on Booking.com.

Who pushed hardest for parity remains debatable. Many hotel executives initially supported it, hoping to prevent OTAs from consistently undercutting their own channels, arguing that disparity caused customer confusion. At industry conferences, some hotel groups publicly advocated parity agreements as a way to bring stability to pricing and reduce constant rate battles.

OTAs, however, quickly recognized the deeper value. Enforcing parity neutralized one of the hotel industry’s most powerful levers for driving direct bookings: the ability to offer a cheaper rate. Over time, parity clauses became standard contract terms, wielded by OTAs as both carrot and stick.

The result was a structural imbalance. If a hotel charged $200 on its own site, it was contractually obligated to ensure the same rate appeared on OTA listings, even if that meant absorbing commissions of 15 to 25 percent. In effect, parity locked hotels into a floor price across all channels.

Enforcement and Legal Challenges

Parity agreements did not remain theoretical. OTAs developed sophisticated scraping technology to monitor hotel prices across the web. If a hotel slipped and offered a lower direct rate, penalties could be swift and severe: reduced visibility in search results, demotion on OTA platforms, or even threats of termination.

But in Europe, regulators and courts began to push back. Over the last decade, parity clauses have been struck down or banned in several major markets:

  • Germany: The Federal Cartel Office (Bundeskartellamt) and later the Federal Court of Justice outlawed both wide and narrow parity clauses, ruling they restricted hotels’ commercial freedom and distorted competition.
  • France: In 2015, the French Parliament banned parity clauses outright through the Loi Macron, and courts fined Expedia for enforcing them.
  • Italy: In 2017, Italy followed suit with legislation prohibiting parity clauses in hotel contracts.
  • Austria and Belgium: Both countries enacted blanket bans, siding firmly with hoteliers.
  • Spain: In 2024, Spain’s competition authority fined Booking.com more than €400 million for abuse of dominance, citing parity-style restrictions among its unfair practices.

The consistent theme across these cases: parity functioned less like consumer protection and more like price fixing, depriving hotels of the ability to compete on price and leaving consumers with fewer genuine options.

Workarounds on Both Sides

Even as regulators scrutinized parity, both hotels and OTAs sought ways to bend the rules without breaking them.

OTAs pioneered dynamic packaging: bundling hotel rates with flights, rental cars, or other components. Because packages displayed total trip costs rather than nightly room rates, they created opacity that allowed OTAs to offer effective discounts while extracting even lower net rates from hotels. Hotels, meanwhile, lacked comparable tools; consumers rarely turned to them for dynamic bundles.

Hotels responded with loyalty strategies. Major chains began offering “member-only” rates visible only to logged-in loyalty members. Independent hotels experimented with private offers requiring an email login. These tactics preserved the appearance of parity in public listings while carving out avenues for targeted discounts.

Some technology providers, including my former company, Regatta Travel Solutions (acquired 2016), helped hotels push further. The Regatta booking engine enabled properties to send automated, personalized offers to prospective guests that had abandoned searches for specific dates when the hotel aimed to boost occupancy. By personalizing offers one-to-one, hotels avoided publishing discounted rates broadly and avoided triggering OTA parity enforcement.

Enter Artificial Intelligence

Today, a far bigger disruptor looms. Conversational AI platforms like ChatGPT are emerging as potential booking channels. Travelers are already experimenting with AI trip planning, and it is not difficult to imagine a near future in which consumers simply ask an AI agent to recommend and book a hotel.

Unlike meta-search engines, which aggregate published rates, AI agents can operate at the level of the individual. Custom GPTs already allow users to create personal agents that know their travel preferences, loyalty memberships and spending patterns. For hotels, this creates a profound opportunity: the ability to deliver personalized, real-time offers to each consumer without broadcasting them publicly.

That possibility strikes at the heart of rate parity. Parity enforcement depends on transparency. OTA algorithms can scrape public sites, but they cannot monitor personalized AI conversations. If a hotel offers a direct price to a specific consumer through an AI agent, the OTA has no practical way of policing it.

What This Means for Hotels

For hotels, AI may finally tilt the distribution balance back in their favor:

  • Pricing freedom: Hotels could once again differentiate on price, tailoring offers to individual travelers or market segments without fear of OTA retribution.
  • Direct relationships: By integrating with AI platforms, hotels can reassert ownership of the booking path and guest data, reducing reliance on intermediaries.
  • Loyalty leverage: Larger hotel groups can use loyalty currencies and benefits as incentives, layering them into AI-delivered offers in ways OTAs cannot match.
  • Independent advantage: Smaller hotels, often disadvantaged by marketing budgets, could compete more effectively by offering unique, personalized deals surfaced directly to consumers through AI.

OTAs, of course, will not sit idle. They may develop their own AI-specific strategies, cloaking offers behind personalization to maintain opacity. But structurally, the dynamic has shifted: once rates become invisible to public monitoring, the foundation of parity collapses.

A Decisive Moment

Rate parity shaped the hotel industry for two decades, curbing price competition and cementing OTA dominance. Regulators chipped away at it, but its practical enforcement endured. Now, AI presents the first truly systemic threat to parity’s survival and a rare chance for hotels to reclaim control.

For hoteliers, the message is urgent. AI-driven booking is not a distant possibility; it is arriving quickly. Those who experiment now, forging technology partnerships, testing AI-based offers and rethinking distribution strategies, stand to capture significant advantage.

The straitjacket of rate parity may finally be loosening. For hotels, the end of this era is not just a legal victory; it is an opportunity to redefine distribution, rebuild guest relationships, and ensure that the direct channel regains the prominence it deserves.

Ashwin Kamlani is a hospitality technology entrepreneur with two decades of experience. After leading the global e-commerce division at Meliá Hotels International, he founded Regatta Travel Solutions, a reservations platform later acquired by Kognitiv Corporation. Today, Ashwin is the founder and CEO of Hyperfunnel, an AI-powered distribution platform designed to help hotels, cruise lines and travel brands adapt as consumers increasingly turn to AI search engines for booking decisions.